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© 2026 birthrate.io. Data from World Bank, UN, OECD & IMF.

Projections labeled “modeled” are estimates, not official forecasts. See methodology.

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  5. Simulator

Demographic Simulator

Pick a country to load real-world assumptions, or enter your own starting population. Adjust fertility, mortality and migration to see how demographics evolve.

Assumptions

Loads population, TFR, life expectancy & migration from World Bank data for Japan. You can still adjust any value below.

1.5
80y
80y

Economy

+2.0%

Population (2106)

4.5M

55.4%

Median age

50y

65+ share

30%

Dependency ratio

73%

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Projected population

1.5 TFR · 80y life expectancy · +0 net migration / step · based on Japan

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Age structure2026

Total population

10M

Japan

2026

20262106

GDP / capita (2106)

$146.3K

from $30K

Total GDP (2106)

$651.6B

Real growth

+2.0%/yr

Economy size ×

2.2×

vs. today

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Projected GDP per capita

+2.0% real growth/yr

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Have a correction, a better estimate, or additional data—at the global, national, regional, or city level? Help improve the data

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Projected total GDP

GDP per capita × projected population

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Have a correction, a better estimate, or additional data—at the global, national, regional, or city level? Help improve the data